Transforming Health and Social Care

It became clear that everyone agreed that there needed to be an integration of health and social care. Everyone could see how that would improve customer and patient outcomes as well as reduce overall cost to the tax payer. However, nobody seemed to be able to prove that was the case because of the differing budgets and the significant time lags between cost and benefit. We decided to take on the design of a ten year cause and affect model for the entire patient focused health and social care journey. Our aim was to provide evidence that what everyone thought was true.

On the 9th April 2015, The Times Newspaper published a short article  summarising some of our finding. Please find the article below and on The Times website.

Transforming Health and Social Care

The NHS is the gold standard of health services, unparalleled among all the world’s major economies. While that is hugely reassuring to know for those who are ill, as business transformation consultancy Prederi points out, when it comes to preventing illness, the health and social sectors have fallen short.

“A financial director of a National Health Service trust recently told me it should not be called the NHS because it is regional and about treatment of illness,” says Stewart Johns, Prederi’s managing director central public services. “Instead, he suggested that it should be called the Regional Illness Service. However, he didn’t think the service would be as popular if it was called RIS.” The remark was light hearted, but as he knew only too well, it carried an element of truth, particularly around the health or illness element. Addressing the Kings Fund recently, the NHS leadership presented the 2014 Commonwealth Fund study showing the NHS is rated the top health service of all the major economies in the world. “I won’t dispute that fact, but I would point out that the same study had UK population health, or healthy lives, ranked second from the bottom in the same group of countries,” says Mr Johns.

There is growing recognition among all the major political parties, and the NHS itself, that the biggest transformation required is that of creating clearer links between health – and illness – wellbeing and social care. Mr Johns adds: “There is a need to increase and improve public health, self-care and social care so people can stay healthier and remain in the community, while reducing the huge and growing demand for GPs and hospitals. This will give a better outcome for the population and a more manageable cost to the taxpayer.” The Prederi modelling team have carried out a systems-thinking study into the interdependencies of the causes and effects of keeping a person in the lowerrisk categories of health (Figure 1) by supporting them when they are still relatively healthy, rather than waiting for them to be ill or get injured. For example, when a patient is discharged from hospital, they could be given reablement for up to six weeks.


UK Health Risk Profile

Reablement is predominantly a social care service that works with the frail to reduce the likelihood of a return to hospital due to a fall, infection or illness and to improve life in his or her own community. Reablement halves the likelihood of a quick return to hospital. In the long term, it also reduces or delays the person staying in a care home. “Our study looks in detail at how people move through the risk profi les as they age and/or become more ill,” explains Mr Johns. “We have examined how an upfront spend in public health and social care can improve lives and reduce long-term costs. The result indicates there is a return of six times the investment in the fi rst ten years and even more if the analysis is over a longer time frame, which takes long-term social care into consideration.” (Figures 2 and 3) This result, while not unexpected, provides real evidence that the upfront investment in social care is worthwhile.

“There is a need to increase and improve public health, self-care and social care so people can stay healthier and remain in the community”

Screenshot 2015-09-11 18.07.05

Screenshot 2015-09-11 18.07.14

Mr Johns concludes: “The major transformation would therefore be to move the entire monolithic health and local authority structures into a more dynamic, integrated person or patient-focused organisation within a single budget, where population health is the true measure of success, rather than just being great at healing ill people.”

This is a short article providing a simplified set of results to a complex systems-thinking model that has linked the major aspects of health and social care.

Presentation: Modelling-the-benefits-of-increased-spending-to-promote-independence

Reply to article from Former Director of Nursing

Dear Sir,
Congratulations on the above article in the Times 9/4/15. Its about time that we realised that we are running a Crisis Intervention Service not Health Service:
Perhaps following your excellent article a future government will be bold enough to change the emphasis to one of prevention with early diagnosis and the personal promotion of good health and exercise and diet. Its to be hoped that with this we will see the development of GP led clinics that can call upon all the professional support services and provide a comprehensive system of care in the community. How refreshing it would be to see government realise that we need an agreed long term plan devoid of Party Politics and to stop thinking that you can cure the heath service ills by constantly putting your finger in another hole in the leaking health care dam.
Mr E C Watkins
Former Director of Nursing.

Meet the author

Stewart Johns

Stewart Johns

Stewart leads Prederi’s support to Central Public Services. Stewarts key industry knowledge is in Financial and Change management, including linking supply chain, strategic change and performance management and specalises in focusing on delivering what the customer needs.… Read more »